BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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East Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 104 Overall: (2-10) Overall Strength = 122.85
Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (1-7) | District: 1A-01 Record: (1-10)
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2023 Away L 137.65 3 30 1A 2 ( 14- 0) Michigan 14.80 * -41.80
2 09/09/2023 Home L 103.32 13 31 1A 98 ( 6- 7) Marshall -19.53 1.53
3 09/16/2023 Away L 118.97 28 43 1A 67 ( 9- 5) Appalachian St -3.87 -11.13
4 09/23/2023 Home W 150.64 44 0 1B 48 ( 7- 5) Gardner-Webb 27.79 16.21
5 09/30/2023 Away L * 121.66 17 24 1A 87 ( 6- 7) Rice -1.19 -5.81
6 10/12/2023 Home L * 121.06 10 31 1A 23 ( 11- 3) SMU -1.79 -19.21
7 10/21/2023 Home L * 109.44 7 10 1A 124 ( 3- 9) UNC-Charlotte -13.41 10.41
8 10/28/2023 Away L * 121.25 27 41 1A 62 ( 9- 4) Texas-San Antonio -1.60 -12.40
9 11/04/2023 Home L * 127.98 10 13 1A 61 ( 11- 3) Tulane 5.13 -8.13
10 11/11/2023 Away W * 140.43 22 7 1A 100 ( 4- 8) Florida Atlantic 17.58 -2.58
11 11/18/2023 Away L * 111.04 0 10 1A 111 ( 5- 7) Navy -11.80 1.80
12 11/25/2023 Home L * 110.74 27 29 1A 122 ( 4- 8) Tulsa -12.10 10.10
Averages 122.85 17.3 22.4
Best game: 150.64 = 44 point win over Gardner-Webb
Worst game: 103.32 = 18 point loss to Marshall
Team stdev: 14.13